IMG_7850Spain_desert

Desolate Spaces

Here’s a good read on the microbial diversity we’ve lost in the West.

Burgers and fries have nearly killed our ancestral microbiome.

It’s a good bet that whoever occupied this humble Spanish abode possessed better microbial diversity than those of us in the West. When you think about it, it’s not really a surprise. Western medicine, Western diets, Western economies, and Western wars….taking their toll on humanity.

Bedar, Spain

The future, well understood

Posting restarted.

I’ve been delving into Philip Tetlock’s work on forecasting.  The book is a must read…once I clear the other must-read’s off my list. In some far off, utopian, parallel universe, leaders make policy decisions based on the mental models used by Tetlock and the “superforecasters.” Of course, we live on earth – inhabited by humans…so it’s a no-go on reason-based decision making.

For those interested in learning more about the forecasting competitions run by Tetlock and team see www.goodudgement.com  and Tetlock’s site.